Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000599 0.000689 0.000785 0.000894 0.001015 0.001144 0.001292
2025-05-11 0.000446 0.000567 0.000706 0.000875 0.001074 0.001298 0.001571
2025-05-18 0.000378 0.000515 0.000678 0.000887 0.001142 0.001442 0.001816
2025-05-25 0.000323 0.000468 0.000650 0.000890 0.001195 0.001563 0.002034
2025-06-01 0.000268 0.000412 0.000602 0.000861 0.001200 0.001621 0.002174
2025-06-08 0.000224 0.000366 0.000559 0.000834 0.001203 0.001672 0.002303
2025-06-15 0.000196 0.000338 0.000538 0.000831 0.001235 0.001760 0.002477
2025-06-22 0.000173 0.000314 0.000520 0.000830 0.001268 0.001846 0.002651
2025-06-29 0.000151 0.000289 0.000498 0.000820 0.001286 0.001913 0.002799
2025-07-06 0.000131 0.000264 0.000473 0.000805 0.001294 0.001966 0.002928
2025-07-13 0.000121 0.000255 0.000472 0.000824 0.001352 0.002087 0.003151
2025-07-20 0.000111 0.000245 0.000468 0.000837 0.001400 0.002195 0.003358
2025-07-27 0.000097 0.000226 0.000449 0.000827 0.001415 0.002256 0.003505
2025-08-03 0.000084 0.000207 0.000426 0.000809 0.001417 0.002300 0.003627
2025-08-10 0.000077 0.000199 0.000422 0.000820 0.001463 0.002407 0.003841
2025-08-17 0.000069 0.000188 0.000414 0.000824 0.001496 0.002496 0.004029
2025-08-24 0.000058 0.000170 0.000388 0.000796 0.001478 0.002509 0.004109
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000153 0.000365 0.000770 0.001462 0.002523 0.004188
2025-09-07 0.000044 0.000144 0.000355 0.000768 0.001484 0.002594 0.004352
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000136 0.000346 0.000767 0.001507 0.002667 0.004520
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000126 0.000334 0.000758 0.001515 0.002717 0.004655
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000116 0.000319 0.000743 0.001514 0.002752 0.004766
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000114 0.000321 0.000761 0.001569 0.002877 0.005017